Do lump-sum investing strategies really outperform dollar-cost averaging strategies? (2024)

Abstract

Purpose

The literature has demonstrated that lump-sum (LS) outperforms dollar-cost averaging (DCA) in uptrend markets while DCA outperforms LS only when the asset price is mean-reverted or downtrend. To bridge the gap in the literature, this study aims to use both Sharpe ratio (SR) and economic performance measure (EPM) to compare the performance of DCA and LS under both accumulative and disaccumulative approaches when the asset price is simulated to be uptrend.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses both disaccumulative and accumulative approaches to compare DCA with LS and uses both SR and EPM to evaluate their performance when the asset price is simulated to be uptrend. Instead of using the annualized returns that are commonly used by other DCA studies, we compute the holding-period returns in the comparison in this paper.

Findings

The simulation shows that no matter which approach is used, DCA outperforms LS in nearly all the cases in the less uptrend markets while DCA still performs better than LS in many cases of the uptrend markets, especially when the market is more volatile and investment horizon is long, regardless which approach the authors used. The authors also find more evidence supporting DCA over LS by using EPM, which is more suitable in the analysis because the returns generated by DCA are positive skewed and flat-tailed that are ignored when SR is used.

Research limitations/implications

The authors conclude that DCA is a better trading strategy than LS for investment even in the uptrend market, especially on high risky assets.

Practical implications

Investors could consider choosing DCA instead of LS as their trading strategy, especially when they prefer long term investment and investing in high-risk assets.

Social implications

Fund managers could consider recommending DCA to their customers, especially when they prefer long term investment and investing in high-risk assets.

Originality/value

This is the own study and, as far as the authors know, this is the first study in the literature uses both SR and EPM to compare the performance of DCA and LS under both accumulative and disaccumulative approaches when the asset price is simulated to be uptrend.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The third author would like to thank Robert B. Miller and Howard E. Thompson for their continuous guidance and encouragement. This research has been supported by Feng Chia University, University of Finance and Accountancy, Asia University, China Medical University Hospital, Hang Seng University of Hong Kong, Research Grants Council (RGC) of Hong Kong (project number 12500915), and Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST, Project Numbers 106–2410-H-468–002 and 107–2410-H-468 –002-MY3), Taiwan.

Citation

Lu, R., Hoang, V.T. and Wong, W.-K. (2021), "Do lump-sum investing strategies really outperform dollar-cost averaging strategies?", Studies in Economics and Finance, Vol. 38 No. 3, pp. 675-691. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-04-2018-0107

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2020, Emerald Publishing Limited

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Do lump-sum investing strategies really outperform dollar-cost averaging strategies? (2024)

FAQs

Do lump-sum investing strategies really outperform dollar-cost averaging strategies? ›

This contrasts with a lump-sum approach, where you invest your capital all at once into your strategic asset allocation. Lump-sum investing may generate slightly higher annualized returns than dollar-cost averaging as a general rule.

Is dollar-cost averaging better than lump sum investing? ›

The market rises over time

One disadvantage of dollar-cost averaging is that the market tends to go up over time. Thus, investing a lump sum earlier is likely to do better than investing smaller amounts over a long period of time.

How a person invests their money using dollar-cost averaging versus lump sum investing? ›

Dollar-cost averaging is the practice of putting a fixed amount of money into an investment on a regular basis, typically monthly or even bi-weekly. Making a lump-sum investment is about timing the market whether or not this is your intention.

What is the most common winning investment strategy? ›

Investment Strategy #1: Value Investing

They buy stocks that appear to be trading for less than what they're really worth. They're willing to bet that these stocks are being underestimated by the stock market and will bounce back over the long run. As those stocks grow in value, they turn a profit for the investor.

What are disadvantages of lump sum investing? ›

Higher initial risk: Due to the single, larger investment, lumpsum investors often face higher initial risk. The value of the investment can experience immediate fluctuations, which could lead to substantial gains or losses.

Why is lump sum better than dollar-cost averaging? ›

Some analysis suggests that dollar-cost averaging is approximately equivalent to an asset allocation where only 50 to 65 per cent of the portfolio is invested in risky assets and the rest in riskless assets – such as treasury bills – is still suboptimal compared with a lump sum investment into a portfolio with those ...

Why i don t recommend dollar-cost averaging? ›

The Market Rises Over Time

If you don't increase your monthly investment over time, you may end up with fewer and fewer shares on average. If you can afford to make a lump-sum investment instead of dollar cost averaging, you could come out ahead if your timing is right.

What is the smartest thing to do with a lump sum of money? ›

Build emergency savings

However you choose to invest your lump sum, it may also be a good idea to build an emergency savings pot. Typically, an emergency savings pot should cover about three months' salary and be quickly accessible so that you can use it whenever you need it.

What are the two drawbacks to dollar-cost averaging? ›

Pros and cons of dollar-cost averaging
  • Dollar-cost averaging can help you manage risk.
  • This strategy involves making regular investments with the same or similar amount of money each time.
  • It does not prevent losses, and it may lead to forgoing some return potential.

Is dollar-cost averaging a good strategy now? ›

DCA is a good strategy for investors with lower risk tolerance. If you have a lump sum of money to invest and you put it into the market all at once, then you run the risk of buying at a peak, which can be unsettling if prices fall. The potential for this price drop is called a timing risk.

What investment strategy does Warren Buffett use? ›

Buffett uses compound interest, dividend reinvestment, and the power of constantly reinvesting the operating cash flow generated by Berkshire's businesses to his advantage. How powerful is this? Berkshire has averaged a 20.1% annualized return since Buffett took over in 1964, compared with 10.5% for the S&P 500.

What is Warren Buffett's number 1 rule? ›

Buffett is seen by some as the best stock-picker in history and his investment philosophies have influenced countless other investors. One of his most famous sayings is "Rule No. 1: Never lose money.

What does Dave Ramsey say to invest in? ›

Plain and simple, here's the Ramsey Solutions investing philosophy: Get out of debt and save up a fully funded emergency fund first. Invest 15% of your income in tax-advantaged retirement accounts. Invest in good growth stock mutual funds.

Is it good to invest lumpsum now? ›

While lump sum investments offer the potential for immediate returns, they also carry higher risk due to market volatility. Choosing lump sum investments depends on individual risk tolerance, financial goals, and the prevailing market environment.

Is dollar-cost averaging riskier than lump sum? ›

A Lump Sum investment into a 60/40 (stock/bond) portfolio has the same level of risk as Dollar Cost Averaging into the S&P 500 over 24 months, yet the Lump Sum investment is more likely to outperform!

Is dollar-cost averaging riskier than lump sum investing? ›

Investing all at once through lump-sum investing can mean higher returns, so choose this method if your primary concern is performance. But dollar cost averaging can help you gradually increase your exposure to risk over time, which can help you lower stress and avoid regret.

Is dollar-cost averaging riskier than lump-sum investing? ›

Investing all at once through lump-sum investing can mean higher returns, so choose this method if your primary concern is performance. But dollar cost averaging can help you gradually increase your exposure to risk over time, which can help you lower stress and avoid regret.

Is dollar-cost averaging riskier than lump-sum? ›

A Lump Sum investment into a 60/40 (stock/bond) portfolio has the same level of risk as Dollar Cost Averaging into the S&P 500 over 24 months, yet the Lump Sum investment is more likely to outperform!

Is dollar-cost averaging the best way to invest? ›

Dollar cost averaging is the practice of investing a fixed dollar amount on a regular basis, regardless of the share price. It's a good way to develop a disciplined investing habit, be more efficient in how you invest and potentially lower your stress level—as well as your costs.

What are the disadvantages of dollar-cost averaging? ›

The drawbacks of dollar-cost averaging should be apparent. If the price of the investment rises over the course of executing a dollar-cost averaging approach, you will end up buying fewer shares than had you made a lump sum investment at the outset.

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