Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (2024)

Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (1) This article contains details specific to United States (US) investors. For non-US investors, acting on fund or ETF suggestions in it may have harmful US tax consequences.

Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (2) Non-US investors can find related information at Simple non-US portfolios and Canadian versions of lazy portfolios.

Lazy portfolios are designed to perform well in most market conditions. Most contain a small number of low-cost funds that are easy to rebalance. They are "lazy" in that you can maintain the same asset allocation for an extended period, as they generally contain 30-40% bonds, suitable for most pre-retirement investors.[note 1]

You can find historical performance for many of the "lazy portfolios" on our site's blog. See Portfolios - Financial Page.

Two-fund portfolio

You can invest in broad US and International markets, as well as bonds, using only two funds. Rick Ferri proposed a two-fund portfolio containing the total world stock market, and a diversified US bond market index fund as follows.[1] Expense ratios are shown in parentheses.

Rick Ferri's Two-Fund Portfolio[1]
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardVanguardSPDR
60%Total World Stock MarketVTWAX (.10%)VT (.08%)SPGM (.09%)
40%Total Bond MarketVBTLX (.05%)BND (.035%)SPAB (.03%)

Three-fund lazy portfolios

A number of popular authors and columnists have suggested three-fund lazy portfolios. These usually consist of three equal parts of bonds (total bond market or TIPS), total US market and total international market. While the "% allocation" is different from those listed below, these funds typically make up the core of Vanguard's Target Retirement and Lifestrategy funds. Expense ratios are shown in parentheses.

Taylor Larimore's Three-Fund Portfolio[note 2]
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardFidelitySchwab[note 3]VanguardiShares
Total US Stock MarketVTSAX (.04%)FSKAX (.015%)SWTSX (.03%)VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
Total International Stock MarketVTIAX (.11%)FTIHX (.06%)SWISX (.06%)VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
Total Bond MarketVBTLX (.05%)FXNAX (.025%)SWAGX (.04%)BND (.035%)AGG (.04%)

Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (3) Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (4)

Scott Burns' Margarita Portfolio / Andrew Tobias' Three-Fund Portfolio[2]
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardFidelitySchwab[note 3]VanguardiShares
34%Total US Stock MarketVTSAX (.04%)FSKAX (.015%)SWTSX (.03%)VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
33%Total International Stock MarketVTIAX (.11%)FTIHX (.06%)SWISX (.06%)VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
33%Inflation-Protected SecuritiesVAIPX (.10%)FIPDX (.05%)SWRSX (.05%)---[note 4]TIP (.19%)

Rick Ferri's Lazy Three-Fund Portfolio[1][note 5]
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardFidelitySchwab[note 3]VanguardiShares
40%Total US Stock MarketVTSAX (.04%)FSKAX (.015%)SWTSX (.03%)VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
20%Total International Stock MarketVTIAX (.11%)FTIHX (.06%)SWISX (.06%)VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
40%Total Bond MarketVBTLX (.05%)FXNAX (.025%)SWAGX (.04%)BND (.035%)AGG (.04%)

In addition, there are several close alternatives to these funds, especially when purchasing through Vanguard. For example, the "Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund" also has a short term alternative, "Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund" (tickers VTIPX or VTAPX) which can offer slightly less volatility in NAV.

Core four portfolios

As Rick Ferri proposed on the Bogleheads forum, the 'Core Four'[3] are four funds which form the "cornerstone" of a portfolio. Low-cost, total market fund examples are shown below (with expense ratios in parentheses).

Rick Ferri's Core Four Portfolio[1]
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardFidelitySchwab[note 3]VanguardiShares
Total US Stock MarketVTSAX (.04%)FSKAX (.015%)SWTSX (.03%)VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
Total International Stock MarketVTIAX (.11%)FTIHX (.06%)SWISX (.06%)VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
Total Bond MarketVBTLX (.05%)FXNAX (.025%)SWAGX (.04%)BND (.035%)AGG (.04%)
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT)VGSLX (.12%)FSRNX (.07%)---[note 6]VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)

Rick proposes that investors first determine their bond allocation. With the remaining funds, allocate 50% to US stock, 40% to international and 10% to REIT.[4] For example, for 60/40 and 80/20 portfolios, you would end up with the following[1]:

Core Four Portfolio, Asset Allocations
Desired Stock/Bond AllocationTotal US Stock Market Index FundTotal International Stock Index FundTotal Bond Market Index FundREIT Index Fund
60 / 4030%24%40%6%
80 / 2040%32%20%8%
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (5) Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (6)

Rick stresses that the exact allocation percentages are not important; to the nearest 5% is fine.[3]

The Core Four is just a low cost foundation for your portfolio. You could add a slice of value stocks (US and/or International). You could split the bond portion between Treasury Inflation Protected Securities and nominal bonds, which would result in a slightly more conservative version of David Swensen's model portfolio (less international stock and less REIT, but otherwise the same four base funds plus TIPS.

More lazy portfolios

Beyond the simple three- and four-fund lazy portfolios are more complex portfolios. These are still "lazy" in that they contain enough bonds (typically 30-40%) to allow you to maintain the same asset allocation for much of your accumulation phase. The more complex funds add REITs, and 'slice and dice' the US and/or International stocks, adding large and small value to the mix. In some of the cases outlined below, a simpler portfolio can accomplish similar goals. For example, you can 'tilt' away from a total stock market fund by adding a small cap value fund.

Bill Schultheis's "Coffeehouse" portfolio

Bill Schultheis made this simple seven-fund portfolio popular in his book The Coffeehouse Investor. He advocates 40% in a total market bond fund and 10% each in various stock funds. You can find more information at The Coffeehouse Investor. The Coffeehouse Portfolio contains only 10% international stocks (17% of total equities). It slices up the domestic portion, but uses a total international fund.[note 7]

Asset Class%
Allocation
Using ETFs
VanguardiShares
Large Blend10%VOO (.03%)IVV (.03%)
Large Value10%VTV (.04%)IUSV (.04%)
Small Blend10%VB (.05%)ISCB (.04%)
Small Value10%VBR (.07%)ISCV (.06%)
Total International10%VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
REIT10%VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)
Total Bond40%BND (.035%)AGG (.04%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (7)

William Bernstein's "Coward's" portfolio

William Bernstein is the author of several books including The Intelligent Asset Allocator and The Four Pillars of Investing. He introduced the Coward's Portfolio in 1996. The "coward" refers not to risk tolerance but to the strategy of hedging your bets and having slices of a number of asset classes. This portfolio is similar to the Coffeehouse Portfolio, except that it uses short term bonds, and divides the international portion into equal slices of Europe, Pacific and Emerging markets.

Asset Class%
Allocation
Using ETFs
VanguardiShares
Total Stock Mkt15%VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
Large Value10%VTV (.04%)IUSV (.04%)
Small Blend5%VB (.05%)ISCB (.04%)
Small Value10%VBR (.07%)ICSV (.06%)
Europe5%VGK (.08%)IEUR (.09%)
Pacific5%VPL (.08%)IPAC (.09%)
Emerging Markets5%VWO (.10%)IEMG (.11%)
REIT5%VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)
Short Term Bond40%BSV (.05%)ISTB (.06%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (8)

Frank Armstrong's "Ideal Index" portfolio

Frank Armstrong, author of The Informed Investor, proposed this portfolio in an MSN Money article[dead link]. It contains a smaller allocation to bonds, and a much larger allocation to international stocks (in fact the equities, excluding REIT, are split 50/50 between domestic and international). Like Bernstein he advocates short term bonds. If the domestic slices were replaced by a total market fund, this portfolio would be very close to the three-fund portfolios, with a slice of REIT added.

Asset Class%
Allocation
Using ETFs
VanguardiShares
Large Blend7%VOO (.03%)IVV (.03%)
Large Value9%VTV (.04%)IUSV (.04%)
Small Blend6%VB (.05%)ISCB (.04%)
Small Value9%VBR (.07%)ICSV (.06%)
Total International31%VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
REIT8%VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)
Short Term Bond30%BSV (.05%)ISTB (.06%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (9)

David Swensen's lazy portfolio

David Swensen is CIO of Yale University and author of Unconventional Success. His lazy portfolio uses low-cost, tax-efficient total market funds, a healthy dose of real estate, and inflation-protected securities (TIPS).[5][note 8]

Asset Class%
Allocation
Using ETFs
VanguardiSharesSPDR
Total Stock Market30%VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)SPTM (.03%)
Intl Developed Market15%VEA (.05%)IDEV (.05%)SPDW (.04%)
Emerging Markets10%VWO (.10%)IEMG (.11%)SPEM (.11%)
Real Estate15%VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)XLRE (.12%)
US Treasury Bonds15%VGIT (.05%)GOVT (.05%)SPTI (.06%)
TIPS15%---[note 4]TIP (.19%)SPIP (.12%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (10)

Permanent Portfolio

Free-market investment analyst Harry Browne devised the Permanent Portfolio in the 1980s, as a buy-and-hold portfolio that contains a healthy allocation to gold. The portfolio holds equal allocations of domestic stocks, gold, short-term treasury bonds, and long term treasury bonds.[6][note 9]

Forum members Craig Rowland and J. M. Lawson have written a book, The Permanent Portfolio: Harry Browne's Long-Term Investment Strategy, detailing every aspect of the Permanent Portfolio.

You can build this portfolio with an investment in a low cost US total stock market index fund, along with direct investments in gold bullion coins, US treasury bills, and US treasury bonds. Or alternatively, with low-cost exchange-traded funds. See Blackrock iShares for an ETF version of the portfolio.

US Permanent Portfolio
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing ETFs
VanguardiShares
25%US Total Stock MarketVTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
25%Gold Bullion---[note 4]IAU (.25%)
25%US Treasury BillsVGSH (.05%)SHY (.15%)
25%US Long-Term TreasuryVGLT (.05%)TLT (.15%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (11)

Notes

  1. Paul B. Farrell, who writes MarketWatch columns about various simple portfolios, popularized the term 'Lazy portfolios'.
  2. Taylor Larimore was an early advocate of this approach, which he described in 1999 in a Morningstar posting, Which is better, 15 funds or 4?. The fourth fund is a money market fund used for cash management. You should tailor the portfolio's allocation percentages to your time-frame, risk tolerance and personal financial situation. Discussed in Bogleheads forum topic: "The Three-Fund Portfolio", Taylor Larimore. January 1, 2012.
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 Schwab's International Index Fund (SWISX) tracks the MSCI EAFE index. This index does not include emerging market stocks, Canadian stocks, and international small-cap stocks.
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 Vanguard does not offer a similar ETF.
  5. Rick said: "The mix between U.S. stocks and international stocks can be changed to suit your preference for dollar exposure. Another option is to swap the total bond market index fund for an investment-grade corporate bond index fund that provides higher yield or a Treasury Inflation Protected (TIPs) fund the provides inflation protection."
  6. Schwab offers an REIT index ETF: SCHH (.07%).
  7. Discussed in Bogleheads forum topic: "Three Index Funds vs "The Coffeehouse Portfolio"?", Shaoya. September 20, 2009.
  8. Discussed in Bogleheads forum topic: "David Swensen's lazy portfolio", amrogers3. April 10, 2012.
  9. Discussed in Bogleheads forum topic: "Updated Modification of Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio", allenmickers. Mar 26, 2008 and Bogleheads forum topic: "Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio Discussion (Cont'd)", MediumTex. Oct 23, 2010.

See also

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 "Three simple index fund portfolios". Forbes. May 23, 2013.
  2. "Margarita portfolio". Couch Potato Investing. July 29, 2018. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020.
  3. 3.0 3.1 Bogleheads forum topic: "The Core Four". December 30, 2007
  4. Bogleheads forum post: "Rick Ferri looking to internationalize his portfolio", Rick Ferri. June 11, 2015
  5. Asset allocations are from: 3 Investment Gurus Share Their Model Portfolios, Chris Arnold, NPR.org, October 17, 2015. Viewed October 30, 2015.
  6. Permanent Portfolio - Early Retirement Extreme Wiki

External links

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FAQs

Are lazy portfolios good? ›

Most portfolios consist of a small number of low-cost funds that are easy to implement and rebalance. Lazy portfolios are designed to perform well in most market conditions, making them the perfect choice for long-term investors.

What is the 70 30 portfolio strategy? ›

The 70/30 portfolio targets a 70% long term allocation to equities and 30% in all other asset classes – the actual portfolio allocation at any point in time will fluctuate to reflect prevailing investment opportunities.

Are 60 40 balanced portfolios dead? ›

While many analysts and experts predicted the demise of the 60/40 rule at the close of 2022 — a particularly brutal year for both stocks and bonds — this long-term investment strategy is looking favorable once again in 2024 and beyond.

What is the 3 portfolio rule? ›

A three-fund portfolio isn't complex. It just means choosing one representative fund to include in your portfolio from the domestic stock, international stock and bond categories. These funds can all belong to the same family or come from different mutual fund companies.

What is Dave Ramsey portfolio? ›

Ramsey's recommendation is to invest 100% of your portfolio in stocks, with no allocation to bonds or other fixed-income investments. He believes that over the long term, stocks will outperform other asset classes, and that a well-diversified stock portfolio is the best way to build wealth.

Do smart investors outperform dumb investors? ›

Using approximately eight years of data, we find that high IQ investors' stock purchases subsequently outperform low IQ investors' purchases by an economically and statistically significant margin, particularly in the near future.

What is the 5 portfolio rule? ›

The 5% rule says as an investor, you should not invest more than 5% of your total portfolio in any one option alone. This simple technique will ensure you have a balanced portfolio.

Is 80/20 better than 60/40? ›

Which Mix Is Right for You? If you're a younger investor with a long time horizon and are comfortable taking on more risk, the 80/20 portfolio may be a good fit. However, if you're closer to retirement or prefer a more conservative approach, the 60/40 portfolio may be a better option.

What is 80 20 rule in portfolio management? ›

In investing, the 80-20 rule generally holds that 20% of the holdings in a portfolio are responsible for 80% of the portfolio's growth. On the flip side, 20% of a portfolio's holdings could be responsible for 80% of its losses.

Is 60/40 too conservative? ›

The traditional 60/40 investment portfolio may be too conservative, according to some financial experts, but the allocation can be a helpful guidepost.

What should a 65 year old portfolio balance be? ›

At age 60–69, consider a moderate portfolio (60% stock, 35% bonds, 5% cash/cash investments); 70–79, moderately conservative (40% stock, 50% bonds, 10% cash/cash investments); 80 and above, conservative (20% stock, 50% bonds, 30% cash/cash investments).

At what age should you have a 60 40 portfolio? ›

You can consider investing heavily in stocks if you're younger than 50 and saving for retirement. You have plenty of years until you retire and can ride out any current market turbulence. As you reach your 50s, consider allocating 60% of your portfolio to stocks and 40% to bonds.

What is the Boglehead method? ›

Bogle, the 'Bogleheads' approach preaches a minimalist philosophy, encouraging investors to build wealth through a diversified portfolio of just three key funds. The Bogleheads philosophy emphasises the virtues of low-cost investing, broad diversification, and a long-term perspective.

What is the 4% rule in Bogleheads? ›

Re: Understanding 4% rule

Using historical return and inflation data from 1926 to 1992, William Bengen calculated that an initial withdrawal rate 4% resulted in at least 30 years of inflation-adjusted withdrawal amounts for all starting years for portfolios of 50% and 75% stocks.

What is the Bogle recommended portfolio? ›

Building a Solid Foundation: The Boring Money Account

The core of Bogles recommended portfolio is having a boring money account invested primarily in index funds. Bogle suggested putting at least 95% of investable assets into low-cost, diversified index funds.

What is the most efficient portfolio? ›

There is a unique portfolio on the efficient frontier that is superior to all the other portfolios. It is called the tangent portfolio, as it is located on the tangent line connecting the risk-free asset and the efficient frontier.

Are robo portfolios a good idea? ›

While a robo-advisor can be efficient in managing your investing decisions, a human advisor may be best for more complex decisions like helping you choose the right student loan repayment plan or comparing compensation packages for a new job. Cost: If cost is a factor, robo-advisors typically win out here.

What are the three lazy portfolios ideal for future millionaires? ›

Building Your Lazy Portfolio

The 3 funds are US stocks (total US stock market), international stocks (total international stock market), and bonds. “It really can be that simple. You can buy an ETF for each of the three funds, set it and forget it.” said Zigmont.

What is considered a good portfolio? ›

For years, many financial advisors recommended building a 60/40 portfolio, allocating 60% of capital to stocks and 40% to fixed-income investments such as bonds. Meanwhile, others have argued for more stock exposure, especially for younger investors.

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