MLB Picks Against The Spread, Money Line, and Over/Under - SportsLine.com (2024)

There are plenty of ways to bet on baseball and plenty of sports betting terms to know when it comes to betting America's pastime. Every professional baseball team will play 162 regular season games, providing a wide range of baseball bets and MLB picks for you to consider. If you're new to the world of USA sports betting, you might find yourself overwhelmed by the sports betting terminology and number of sports betting sites available. Below are several baseball betting terms to help you make the best MLB picks this season.

Money line:

The money line is the simplest and most common type of bet in baseball betting. You’re betting on one team to win outright. If a favorite is -150 on the money line, a $150 bet on that team to win outright would return $100. Conversely, if a team is a +200 underdog, a $100 bet would return $200.

Run line:

The run line is a type of point spread bet in baseball. Instead of betting on which team will win the game, you bet on the margin of victory. One team is usually listed as a 1.5-run favorite. The other team is listed as a 1.5-run underdog, with corresponding odds attached to both MLB spreads.

Total (Over/Under):

The Over/Under, also referred to as the total, is how many combined runs teams are expected to score in a baseball game. If the Over/Under is set at 8.5, then any combined score lower than that would make the Under cash. Nine or more runs is a win for the Over in your MLB picks.

Futures:

Futures are long-term bets that won't resolve on the day they are placed. They are often placed preseason or in-season, and a popular baseball futures bet is picking which team will win the championship. Another is using the Over/Under, except in regards to a team's end-of-season win total. For example, the bar for the number of wins for New York’s pro baseball team could be 81.5, and a baseball futures bet is predicting if it will exceed that number.

Parlay:

Parlays are simply the selection of two or more baseball picks on a single wager, where all outcomes must be correct in order for the bet to win. Although risky, parlays remain popular because of the potential to win large sums with minimal investments.

Prop (or proposition) bet:

If you are looking for a fun way to bet on baseball, a prop bet is right for you. With a prop bet, you can wager on MLB picks like how many strikeouts a pitcher will record or whether a player will hit a home run.

First five innings (F5):

A popular bet in baseball, first five innings (F5) is a wager on which team will be winning when five innings have been completed.

Team totals:

The total, or Over/Under, usually refers to how many combined runs both teams score in a game, but team totals are popular as well. These are the MLB picks where a bettor will pick Over or Under on how many runs one team scores. If New York’s team total is set at 4.5, any runs total of five or higher would cash the Over, while anything fewer than five results in a win for the Under.

NRFI (No Runs First Inning):

A popular bet for those who wager on baseball, NRFI stands for 'No Run First Inning.' The bet can be a bit risky considering both teams generally stack their best hitters towards the top of their lineups. The odds on NRFI bets are variable mostly depending on the quality of pitchers.

Player strikeouts:

This bet refers to how many times a player will strike out in a single game. The Over/Under for total strikeouts is often 0.5 with adjusted odds for both wagers.

To hit a home run:

If you think a player will hit a home run at any point in the game, you can place a bet, often times for a plus-money payout. You can also bet on who hits the first home run of the game.

To record a hit:

Every player is assigned a total for hits in a single game, with bettors placing wagers on if they’ll exceed or fall short of the assigned total. For instance, if you place a bet on a player to record Over 1.5 hits, that player will need to finish with two hits for the bet to be a winner. If the player records just one hit, the bet is a loser.

Total bases:

Another popular batter props bet is total bases. Bases are awarded on hits only, with the following scoring system: Single = 1 base, Double = 2 bases, Triple = 3 bases and Home Run = 4 bases.

To record an RBI:

RBI stands for ‘Run Batted In.” Sportsbooks will offer an Over/Under on how many RBI a player will record in a single game.

1st inning total runs:

An Over/Under is set on how many runs will be scored in the first inning. Oftentimes, Sportsbooks set the Over/Under for total runs scored in the first inning at 0.5 or 1.5.

Correct score:

Correct score betting involves predicting the final score of a baseball game. These bets are typically hard to predict, which is why they’re often listed at plus-money odds. You can also predict the exact score of each inning at most sportsbooks.

Player performance doubles:

This bet is similar to a parlay, meaning it involves two or more wagers. Player performance doubles often feature over/under starting pitcher strikeouts and a money line pick on which team will win outright.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Can I bet on a baseball game after it has begun?A: Yes, most sportsbooks offer live-betting, meaning you can place wagers on live-updated totals or even the outcome of the next at-bat.

Q: What happens if a baseball game is postponed?A: It will vary by sportsbook, but most will void and refund unless the game is rescheduled within a certain timeframe.

Q: What is a push in baseball sports betting?A: A push means the point spread or point total hits the exact number in which you bet. For example, if the Over/Under is eight runs, and the game finishes 5-3, the bet is a push and will be refunded.

Q: How do I know which team is the favorite?A: The favorite is usually listed with a negative number, while the underdog is listed with a positive number. For instance, if New York is favored to beat Boston, New York will be listed at -135 (risk $135 to win $100). As the underdog, Boston would be listed at +175 (risk $100 to $175).

MLB Picks Against The Spread, Money Line, and Over/Under - SportsLine.com (2024)

FAQs

Is it better to bet over or under MLB? ›

MLB over/under FAQs

It is not better or worse to be on either side. Most people like to bet the over and cheer for a great game full of hits and home runs, but some people love a good old fashion pitchers duel. If you do the research and are convinced of a side, you can't go wrong.

What is the win percentage on Sportsline? ›

No other online documented sports betting service can claim a 64% winning percentage over the last 6 years. It's that kinda performance that has us as the hot topic in many betting circles.

What is the best thing to bet on in baseball? ›

Over/Under betting in baseball is extremely popular with oddsmakers, who set a projected total of combined runs scored in a game by both teams and bettors pick whether the final score will go Over or Under that total. The Over and the Under both have odds attached, known as juice or vig.

What does run line mean in baseball? ›

The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs.

What wins more often over or under? ›

If games went over or under much more often than the other, sports betting would be easy, wouldn't it? The betting market is pretty good at creating accurate totals to split both sides 50/50. But in most sports, games do go under slightly more often. It's not enough to beat the vig and be blindly profitable, though.

Is it better to bet on the spread money or total? ›

The answer to this question comes down to your confidence level and risk tolerance. If your analysis tells you a 6.5-point underdog stands a good chance of winning the game outright, bet the moneyline. However, if you think that 6.5-point underdog will be competitive but likely not win, bet the point spread.

How to win MLB moneyline bets? ›

This spread essentially gives you a one-run cushion if you choose the underdog (but you are paying a premium) or more value on the favorite, but they would have to win the game by two or more runs for you to win your wager. Baseball moneyline bets do not factor in how many runs your selection wins or loses by.

What is the most common bet in baseball? ›

We'll start with a money line because it's the most common bet. With a money line bet, you simply choose the team you think will win the game. Remember, when you look at the matchup, the team with the negative score is the one favored to win, while the one with the positive score is favored to lose.

What is the most profitable way to sports bet? ›

Hedging bets is by far the most successful betting strategy. This is where you're able to place multiple bets to cover all possible results and still make a profit regardless of the outcome of the game.

What does a +200 money line mean? ›

A +200 money line would mean that if you placed a $100 bet, you would win $200. It also tells you that the team is not expected to win, as it is the underdog in the game.

What is the moneyline bet? ›

Moneyline betting is where you pick the winner of an event or game. Negative odds indicate favorites, and underdogs have positive odds. The range between the odds can indicate the closeness of the matchup in the eyes of the sportsbook.

What does 1st inning over under 0.5 runs mean? ›

Once you are within the game and see all of the prop bet options, select the first inning and "UNDER 0.5," indicating that you are betting no runs in the first inning. Each game will have different odds based on how the sportsbooks think the first inning will play out.

Is it better to be over or under in a bet? ›

The under bet is even money, meaning a winning bet would double the amount placed on the bet. However, the over is -120, meaning you'd have to bet $120 to win $100 (or $12 to win $10). This usually means that the over is getting more bets and/or is viewed as the slightly more likely outcome.

How often do unders hit in baseball? ›

Over/Under in baseball means betting whether the final score will go Over or Under a projected run total. Do baseball Overs or Unders hit more often? Between the 2007 and 2021 regular seasons, MLB Unders have hit at a slightly higher 50.7% rate.

Is it better to bet on higher or lower odds? ›

Simply put, the greater the odds against a team, the larger the payout will be for anyone who bets on it. For example, 7 to 2 odds mean that for every $2 you wager, you could win $7 if your bet is successful, while 5 to 1 odds mean you could win $5 for every $1 you bet.

Is it better to have a higher or lower batting average? ›

In modern times, a season batting average of . 300 or higher is considered to be excellent, and an average higher than . 400 a nearly unachievable goal.

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